Market Closes - July 31, 2018
Posted on Jul 31, 2018Corn Sep +5 372; Dec +5 386 (380-88)
Bean Sep +28 909; Nov +28 919 (889-922)
Meal +7 340
Oil +43 2889
Wheat Sep +7 554; Jly +5 592 (581-601)
KC +9 556; MGE +5 606
Oats +3 236
Rice -4 1191
LC Aug -75 10767; Dec -47 11297; Feb unch 11677
FC Aug -217 14932; Oct -182 14995; Jan -77 14907
LH Aug -217 6112; Oct -50 5072; Dec -5 4655
Milk Aug -18 1476; Sep -11 1551
Crop futures closed sharply higher with corn and soybean futures ending near the day’s highs. Wheat futures couldn’t maintain its gains and ended near mid-range. Soybean futures led the market higher on hope that the US and China are talking to avert a lengthy trade war. Corn and beans were supported also by forecasts for warmer, drier weather in August (http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/610day/. Faster maturing corn could trim yield potential. Wheat continues its uptrend that started July 12, supported by the corn/bean market but especially by falling wheat production estimates for EU and Russia (hot, dry weather). The spec funds are fueling the rally as they add to their wheat long and work to cover their large short positions in corn and soybeans. Technically, corn futures are just 5-7 cents from the 200-day moving averages. Soybean futures are 70-80 cents below the 200-day MA.
Kentucky’s Corn and Soybean crops had significant drops in the shares rated Good or Excellent. At the same time, the US corn and soybean crops didn’t see any drop from last week.
Live Cattle futures closed lower while Feeder Cattle posted bigger losses due to corn/bean futures moving much higher. The August LC contract remains at a discount to last week’s average cash price of $110/cwt. Boxed beef values were mixed. Choice beef ended down .45 at 204.27 and Select gained .40 to 198.38.
Lean Hog futures closed lower with the nearby August LH contract down sharply under pressure from falling cash hog prices and pork cutouts. FOB Plant Pork -.49 to 74.05 with belly value dropping 8%. Weekly slaughter numbers are rising. August and October LH contracts hit new lows. The August LH is nearly $10/cwt below the CME LH Index. But traders aren’t looking to catch this “falling knife” for now. The hope that grain traders put in rumored US/China talks was not to be found in the hog market.
US$ +.2%
Dow +108 25415
SP +14 2816
NAS +42 7672
Tran +144 11077
VIX -1.43 12.83
WTI -173 6840
Brent -72 7425
Gas -4 212
NG +4 282
HO -4 213
Eth unch 145
Gold +1 1227
Slvr unch 1553
2-yr +.004 2.673%
5-yr -.002 2.848%
10yr -.015 2.960%
30yr -.024 3.081%
Bluegrass Stockyards - Lexington, KY (Tues.)
Weighted Average Report for 07/31/2018
Receipts: 533 Last Week: 928 Year Ago: 542
Compared to last Tuesday steer calves under 700 lbs sold steady with good demand; over 700 lbs sold 1.00 to 3.00 lower with moderate demand. Heifer calves sold steady to 2.00 higher with good demand. Slaughter cows and slaughter bulls sold steady with moderate demand.
Kentucky Farm Bureau Minute video - Click Here
KENTUCKY CASH GRAIN PRICES – Click Here
KENTUCKY LIVESTOCK AUCTIONS -- Click Here
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