Market Closes - July 27, 2016
Posted on Jul 27, 2016Soybean futures closed strongly higher, pulling corn up one percent. Old-crop August Soybeans gained 5 cents on new crop November with cash soybean demand providing the strength along with concerns for warmer weather in August. See 8-14 day outlook HERE. Technically, August Soybeans have support at 9.80 and 9.61 (200-day moving avg). Today was the first day in 9 days that soybean futures traded higher than the previous day’s highest price. December Corn is at a critical resistance chart point along the downtrend line drawn off the June and July highs. Support is at 3.33.
Wheat futures traded higher early in the day but eventually sold off to close near the day’s lows and little changed from Tuesday’s market. The stronger US Dollar weighed on wheat and other commodity prices.
Cattle futures closed steady to slightly higher, consolidating this week’s strong futures gains. Now it’s up to the cash cattle market to fuel further gains in futures. Today, however, boxed beef ended the day weaker -- Choice Beef closed down .85 to 199.08 and Select fell .77 to 190.05.
Cattle feeding margins turned RED last week; see DROVER’S article on cattle and hog operating margins here. The average cash profit per cow is down to $175 from $432 last year, according to this article.
Lean Hog futures traded steady most of the morning but eventually collapsed into the closing bell on weak cash hog prices and sharply lower pork product values. FOB Plant dropped 4.02 to 82.49 with all primals but the picnic losing value; bellies fell 17.40 to 116.39. FOB Plant is down 6.40 since Monday afternoon.
August LH futures sit just above the contract lows established last November. August LH has taken a $37.00 roundtrip since then – hitting a contract high just 6 weeks ago above $90.00.
Corn Sep +3 336; Dec +3 343 (339-45)
Bean Aug +17 1010; Nov +12 986 (971-95)
Meal +3 345
Oil -3 2953
Wheat Sep unch 415; Dec unch 441; Jly -1 488
KC unch 413; MGE +2 488
Oats -3 197
Rice -20 982
LC Aug +7 11395; Dec +55 11390; Feb +10 11327
FC Aug -17 14227; Oct +2 14025; Jan -82 13360
LH Aug -292 7167; Oct -257 6105; Dec -205 5645
Milk Jly -3 1527; Aug +7 1693
US$ -.4%
Dow -2 18472
SP -3 2167
NAS +30 5140
Tran -119 7861
VIX -.22 12.83
WTI -104 4188
Brent -148 4339
Gas -2 132
NG -3 268
HO -3 130
Eth -2 144
Gold +19 1340
Slvr +74 2042
The FOMC announced its interest rate policy is unchanged following today’s meeting. Treasury prices rallied which lowered yields (interest rates) significantly.
2-yr -.040 0.722%
5-yr -.065 1.090%
10yr -.058 1.503%
30yr -.065 2.215%
Kentucky Farm Bureau Minute video - Click Here
KENTUCKY CASH GRAIN PRICES – Click Here
KENTUCKY LIVESTOCK AUCTIONS -- Click Here
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