Market Closes - July 11, 2016
Posted on Jul 11, 2016CBOT futures closed lower after trading higher overnight. Corn futures gapped higher Sunday evening, traded sideways overnight, then headed lower when trading reopened at 830 am. Soybean futures also started higher, but traded sideways until late morning before succumbing to the selling pressure. Prices were pressured by continued fund liquidation as they try to shrink their long positions ahead of Tuesday’s WASDE report that may have a bearish tone. Market reports indicate the funds’ soybean long is still quite large. In contrast, the funds are supposedly at or near a record short position in wheat futures. Weather forecasts offer limited threats to production.
Nationally, corn and soybean condition ratings slightly improved. Compared to a week ago, Kentucky’s corn crop was near steady but soybean conditions did slip. Flooding in western KY has damaged crops in addition to roads and other infrastructure.
Flooded Corn and Chance for Survival - UK Article (click here)
Week ending July 10
U.S. Corn Conditions
. Good/Excellent Poor/V.Poor
This Week 76% 5%
Last Week 75% 5%
Last year 69% 9%
U.S. Soybean Conditions
. Good/Excellent Poor/V.Poor
This Week 71% 6%
Last Week 70% 7%
Last year 62% 11%
Winter Wheat is 66% harvested compared to 65% for the 2011-15 average.
Live and Feeder Cattle futures closed sharply lower with October LC down the daily $3.00 limit (limit expands to $4.50 tomorrow). Cattle opened near steady with Friday’s closes but selling pushed prices lower throughout the morning. After cash cattle were priced $3.00/cwt lower on Friday, traders came into the office ready to liquidate longs. As prices fell, others jumped on the bandwagon, pushing some prices to limit-down levels. Live Cattle futures hit new contract lows; Feeder futures made contract lows on June 20 about $5.00 below today’s closing prices. Even with August LC futures at a sharp discount to the recent $120/cwt trade, traders are concerned about beef demand. Boxed beef values are down. Choice down 0.65 at 208.70; Select down 0.88 at 195.40.
Lean Hog futures also closed lower. Pressure came from the bearish cattle market and by a weak pork market. FOB Plant Pork closed up .06 to 89.54. This is better than the midday quote of 88.67.
Corn Sep -7 348; Dec -7 355 (351-68)
Bean Aug -6 1077; Nov -3 1055 (1051-77)
Meal -4 373
Oil -2 3033
Wheat Sep -4 430; Dec -3 453
KC -4 417; MGE -1 500
Oats +8 204
Rice +6 1068
LC Aug -287 10935; Dec -290 11087; Feb -260 11117
FC Aug -400 13945; Oct -402 13745; Jan -325 13220
LH Jly -42 7962; Oct -67 6792; Dec -60 6157
Milk Jly -1 1519; Aug -19 1577
US$ +.3%
Dow +80 18227
SP +7 2137 - RECORD HIGH CLOSE
NAS +32 4989
Tran +29 7712
VIX +.34 13.54
WTI -65 4476
Brent -66 4610
Gas +1 138
NG -10 270
HO unch 142
Eth -1 158
Gold -2 1357
Slvr +20 2030
Kentucky Farm Bureau Minute video - Click Here
KENTUCKY CASH GRAIN PRICES – Click Here
KENTUCKY LIVESTOCK AUCTIONS -- Click Here
Comments