Market Closes - February 28, 2019
Posted on Feb 28, 2019Corn Mar -2 362; May -3 371; Dec -2 392 (391-94)
Bean Mar -6 897; May -6 910; Nov -5 944 (943-50)
Meal -3 302
Oil +16 2996
Wheat Mar -8 452; Jly -7 466 (465-75)
KC +2 441; MGE +4 567
Oats -4 252
Rice +11 1039
LC Feb +55 12995; Apr -7 12985; Aug -25 11590
FC Mar -100 14287; May -102 14725; Aug -52 15160
LH Apr +27 5587; May +10 6570; Jly +7 7827
Milk Mar -7 1524; Apr unch 1517
CBOT futures closed lower and near the day’s lows. Today’s weak closes also make the monthly chart look negative. Old-crop corn hit 5-month lows, as did soybean meal futures. Chicago Wheat hit new contract lows. Futures were pressured by bearish technicals, heavy deliveries against March corn and wheat futures, and no reported progress with China on trade. YTD Soybean Export Sales total 39 mmt; this is the least since the 2012/13 marketing year. China only accounts for 31% of the total.
A WTO Dispute Settlement Panel did rule in favor of the U.S. against China in a complaint about their domestic support of wheat and rice producers. Read More Here
Cattle futures closed mostly lower with FC leading the way down. The February LC expired today at 129.95, up .55. The cash market is reportedly bid $125 against $130 offers. Stronger packer margins should result in a better price tomorrow. Choice beef gained .49 to 219.95 and Select surged 2.48 to 215.27. The Choice-Select Spread narrowed to 4.68.
https://release.nass.usda.gov/reports/catl0219.pdf
Today’s January 1st U.S. Cattle Inventory Report shows the following:
All Cattle/Calves = 94.8 million head, up 500,000 head from a year earlier. Expansion started in 2015.
Beef Cows/Heifers that calved = 31.8 million, up one percent.
Milk Cows/Heifers that calved = 9.35 million, down one percent.
2018 CALF Crop = 36.4 million head, up 2 percent from 2017.
USDA estimates 73.1% born in first half of the year.
KENTUCKY’s Inventory:
All Cattle/Calves = 2.13 million head, down 30,000 head from a year earlier.
Beef Cows/Heifers that calved = 1.017 million, down 16,000 head.
Milk Cows/Heifers that calved = 53,000 head, down 4,000 head.
2018 CALF Crop = 970,000 head, down 20,000 from 2017.
Cattle on Feed – January 1 = 16,000 head, down 1,000 head.
Lean Hog futures ended slightly higher. LH was supported by a strong pork export sales report and higher pork cutouts. FOB Plant Pork rose 0.92 to 60.49, with belly value up 5% and loins up 4%. Continued consolidation in LH at current levels might give traders courage to buy.
US$ +.1% 96.20
Dow -69 25916
SP -8 2784
NAS -22 7533
Tran -25 10467
VIX +.08 14.78
WTI +33 5727
Brent -36 6603
Gas +1 165
NG +2 285
HO +1 203
Eth unch 133
Gold -7 1315
Slvr -12 1564
2-yr +.012 2.518%
5-yr +.028 2.517%
10yr +.027 2.720%
30yr +.015 3.083%
RFD-TV will air the AFBF documentary “The Voice of Agriculture 1919 – 2019” on Monday March 4, at 8:00 PM Eastern.
“The Voice of Agriculture 1919 – 2019” is a special centennial documentary that delves into the history of the American Farm Bureau Federation, explores its impact as the leading national farm organization, and sets the stage for the next 100 years of The Voice of Agriculture.
“Across Kentucky” podcast - Click Here
KENTUCKY CASH GRAIN PRICES – Click Here
KENTUCKY LIVESTOCK AUCTIONS -- Click Here
Comments