Market Closes - December 19, 2016
Posted on Dec 19, 2016Although CBOT futures performed well Sunday evening, the tide turned south overnight and accelerated downward after the 830 am CT reopening – resulting in lower closes. Most of the pressure was blamed on beneficial rainfall in Argentina over the weekend.
Corn futures are down for the third straight day and now are priced in the middle of the 20-cent trading range. Soybean futures erased Friday’s gains and closed even lower. Soybean and soybean meal futures closed at/near the day’s lows and are now at the bottom of the trading range and sit just above critical chart support. If this support is broken, it may open up 40 cents of downside risk – or down to $9.80 in the January contract.
Beyond the nearby December Live Cattle contract, cattle futures closed mostly higher with most contracts hitting new highs for this move that started back in mid-October. Live Cattle are around $16/cwt above those lows and Feeder Cattle are $15-20/cwt higher. Market strength was tied to last week’s cash market strength with the price up almost $2/cwt from the previous week. Packer margins are excellent and boxed beef was higher today. Choice up 0.76 at 195.39; Select up 1.96 at 183.05.
Lean Hog futures closed widely mixed with the nearby February LH contract up a sharp 1.40, while June lost .60. With February at a huge premium to the current cash market, the buying was probably technical in nature as this strong $18.00 rally keeps on rolling. Major resistance for February LH is only $4 away at 70.00. Hard to believe, but this contract since mid-June, or 6 months ago, has dropped $22.00 and rallied $18.00, for a $40.00 round-trip. FOB Plant Pork gained .74 to 78.59 on a 3.5% gain in belly value.
Corn Mar -3 353; Jly -3 367; Dec -2 384
Bean Jan -15 1021; May -14 1040; Nov -8 1012
Meal -5 312
Oil -18 3656
Wheat Mar -4 405; Jly -3 431
KC -1 414; MGE -3 541
Oats +1 225
Rice unch 947
LC Dec -37 11195; Feb +57 11592; Jun +42 10467
FC Jan +102 13092; Apr +50 12610; Aug +15 12462
LH Feb +105 6575; Apr +10 6840; Jun -90 7705
Milk Jan +24 1719; Feb +14 1728
US$ +.1%
Dow +40 19883
SP +4 2263
NAS +20 5457
Tran +65 9233
VIX -.49 11.71
WTI +1 5191
Brent -40 5481
Gas unch 156
NG -1 341
HO -1 166
Eth +3 160
Gold +3 1141
Slvr -20 1601
2-yr -.029 1.228%
5-yr -.040 2.025%
10yr -.055 2.542%
30yr -.056 3.125%
Kentucky Weekly Livestock Summary for the week of Dec 12-17, 2016.
**Due to the upcoming holidays, this report will next be published on 9 Jan 2016**
Receipts
This Week Last Week Last Year
24,350 33,842 14,969
Compared to last week steer calves traded mostly steady to 3.00 higher and heifer calves mostly steady to 4.00 higher with moderate to good demand on a plain through good quality offering. Yearling steers and heifers sold mostly steady to 3.00 higher with moderate to good demand. Slaughter cows sold steady to 2.00 lower and slaughter bulls sold steady to 4.00 lower with moderate to good demand.
Comments