Market Closes - December 10, 2018
Posted on Dec 10, 2018Corn Mar -1 384 (383-86); Dec -1 402
Bean Jan -7 910 (908-16); Mar -6 923; Nov -4 957
Meal -1 310
Oil +2 2876
Wheat Mar -6 525; Jly -3 537 (535-40)
KC -2 510; MGE -6 575
Oats +1 289
Rice -10 1066
LC Dec -32 11757; Apr -2 12360; Jun +10 11520
FC Jan +65 14502; Apr +75 14327; Aug +52 14762
LH Dec +47 5472; Feb -105 6682; Jun -55 8345
Milk Dec -13 1363; Jan -18 1380
CBOT futures closed mostly lower ahead of Tuesday’s USDA WASDE report. The markets closed weak with the losses stacking up in the last two hours of trading. Soybean and wheat losses pulled corn futures to the negative side. Corn had been lifted by some export sales. A strong dollar and sharply lower energy futures added to the pressure. Trade reports have the speculators long corn and near even in soybean futures. Traders are watching for China to make the promised purchases as the US and China negotiate a trade deal in a 90-day window ending March 1, 2019.
Here’s some of the latest statistics on China: 1) China’s November soybean imports of 5.38 MMT (preliminary data) is down 22% from October and 38% lower than last year. In the first 11 months of 2018, China imported 82.3 MMT of soybeans, down 4.3% from last year. 2) Counting all products during January-November 2018, China had a trade surplus with the U.S. of $293.5 billion, up from $251.3 for the same period last year.
Live Cattle closed mixed and Feeder Cattle ending higher. Live cattle were supported by firmer cash trade on Friday, trading around $119/cwt, and by higher boxed beef values last Friday and again today. Choice ended up 1.13 at 215.42 and Select gained .44 to 200.94. Feeder futures closed higher as that market saw follow-through buying after FC bounced off of chart support on Friday. Last week’s beef production was up 4.4% week/week and up 3.5% from a year earlier.
Beyond the nearby December LH contract, LH futures closed lower. Although the pork cutout on Friday reached a 5-week high at 73.63, it dropped back today. FOB Plant Pork dropped .98 to 72.65 with 6% loss in ham value and 2% loss in loins. A stronger dollar and a lack of China trade news kept buyers at bay.
US$ +.5%
Dow +34 24423 low 23881
SP +5 2638
NAS +51 7021
Tran -75 9877
VIX -.59 22.64
WTI -161 5120
Brent -190 5977
Gas -7 142
NG +6 454
HO -4 184
Eth -2 122
Gold -3 1244
Slvr -9 1448
2-yr +.020 2.731%
5-yr +.018 2.714%
10yr +.007 2.857%
30yr -.012 3.131%
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