Market Closes - August 6, 2018
Posted on Aug 6, 2018Corn Sep +1 371; Dec +1 385 (382-86)
Bean Sep -9 883; Nov -9 893 (887-904)
Meal -2 328
Oil -7 2845
Wheat Sep +18 574; Jly +13 611 (594-612)
KC +19 586; MGE +15 628
Oats +12 261
Rice -22 1127
LC Aug -27 11040; Oct -45 11155; Feb -25 11860
FC Aug -100 15185; Oct -75 15227; Jan -65 15160
LH Aug -190 5660; Oct -55 5022; Dec -72 4545
Milk Aug -4 1484; Sep -20 1548
CBOT futures closed widely mixed, from large gains in wheat to modest losses in soybeans. Corn was little changed as it was caught between the wheat and soybean markets. Ahead of Friday’s updated crop production and supply-demand reports, traders continue to react to the bullish weather conditions in foreign wheat countries and the bearish trade situation with China. The spec funds have sizable short positions in corn and soybeans and a long in wheat. USDA crop ratings did drop for corn and soybeans as of Sunday. The maturity for both U.S. crops is well ahead of the 5-year average. KY crop maturities are close to normal.
Week ending Aug 5
U.S. Corn Conditions
. Good/Excellent Poor/V.Poor
This Week 71% 10%
Last Week 72% 9%
Last year 60% 13%
** 57% in Dough vs 37% average
** 12% Dented vs 6% average
U.S. Soybean Conditions
. Good/Excellent Poor/V.Poor
This Week 67% 10%
Last Week 70% 8%
Last year 60% 12%
** 75% setting pods vs 58% average
U.S. Pasture and Range
40% good/excellent vs 44% year ago.
30% poor/v.poor vs 24% year ago.
Live and feeder cattle futures opened this morning steady but quickly sold off to near the day’s lows. Futures were supported by Friday’s cash trade around $114/cwt, up $2-3 from the previous week. But futures already had made the major move Friday. The boxed beef market was supportive as well. Choice beef closed up .93 at 205.68 and Select up 1.24 at 198.33 (Ch/Sel spread = 7.35).
Lean Hog futures continued their bearish ways with the nearby August LH contract closing sharply lower and at a new contract low. The CME Lean Hog Index is falling daily but remains around $10 premium to the August LH contract. These two prices need to converge in the coming days. Friday’s pork cutout reached its lowest level since May, but bounced back some today. FOB Plant Pork finally improved, rising 1.13 to 72.81 only the ham value dropping. This cutout was up 1.45 at midday. The speculative crowd reportedly had a record short position in LH at the end of the last reporting period.
US$ +.2%
Dow +40 25502
SP +10 2850
NAS +48 7860
Tran +64 11161
VIX -.37 11.27
WTI +52 6901
Brent +44 7365
Gas unch 207
NG +1 286
HO +1 214
Eth -1 143
Gold -5 1218
Slvr -11 1535
2-yr +.004 2.649%
5-yr -.009 2.807%
10yr -.011 2.941%
30yr -.002 3.091%
Kentucky Weekly Livestock Summary for the week of Jul 30-Aug 4, 2018
Receipts: 17,701 Last Week 18,406 Last Year 16,019
Compared to last week, steer calves sold mostly steady to 4.00 higher and heifer calves were steady to 3.00 higher. Demand was moderate to good for an attractive quality offering with moderate buyer activity. Yearling steers and heifers sold mostly steady to 3.00 lower with moderate demand. Slaughter cows sold steady to 3.00 higher and slaughter bulls mostly steady to 2.00 higher with moderate supply and good demand.
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