Market Closes - May 10, 2021
Posted on May 10, 2021Corn Jly -20 712 (708-31); Dec -27 609 (607-31)
Bean Jly -2 1587 (1575-94); Nov -19 1414 (1407-31)
Meal Jly unch 442 (436-45); Dec -3 416
Oil Jly -64 6384; Dec -83 5707
Wheat Jly -31 730 (727-61); Dec -30 735
KC Jly -33 703; MGE -44 753
Oats -4 410
Rice -28 1421
LC Jun +220 11822; Aug +150 12035; Oct +110 12455
FC May +372 13545; Aug +442 14870; Oct +352 15127
LH May -7 11190; Jly -85 11270; Oct -17 9180
Milk May +1 1883; Jun -5 1884
Most CBOT futures closed sharply lower with new-crop corn and all three wheat exchanges leading the way downward. Significant weekend rainfall in dry areas of the Corn Belt and some rain in spring wheat country caused an aggressive round of profit-taking. The spec funds were supposedly huge sellers of corn and wheat futures. China’s cancellation of old-crop corn purchases while buying 2021-22 corn may have also added to the pressure. Private weather forecasters were also indicating improved moisture for the northern Plains and western Corn Belt by next Monday. The NOAA 6-10 and 8-14 day outlooks (CLICK HERE) this evening confirm a wetter than normal period as well. Temperatures are also forecast to rise above normal, so the planted crops should grow well. U.S. wheat remains uncompetitive on the world market. Wednesday’s USDA supply-demand report shouldn’t have many surprises for the U.S. crop forecasts, but South American crop estimates will be examined.
U.S Crop Progress and Conditions
Corn is 67% planted vs 46% last week and 52% 5-yr avg.
KY@ 71% is 13 pts ahead of normal. IA@ 86% planted ahead of 65% average. MN@ 85% vs 53% average. SD@ 66% is 36 points ahead of the 5-yr avg.
Corn is 20% emerged vs 19% average.
Soybeans are 42% planted vs 24% last week and 22% 5-year avg.
KY@ 32% is 16 pts ahead of normal. LA is 24 pts behind @40% -- the only state behind normal. IL is 57% vs 25%; IA is 67% vs 30%; MI is 42% vs 11%. MN@ 65% vs 25%.
Winter Wheat Condition:
49% good/excellent vs 48% week ago and 53% year ago.
18% poor/v.poor vs 19% week ago and 16% year ago.
LC Jun +220 11822; Aug +150 12035; Oct +110 12455
FC May +372 13545; Aug +442 14870; Oct +352 15127
LH May -7 11190; Jly -85 11270; Oct -17 9180
Cattle futures closed sharply higher with feeder cattle benefitting from the sharp drop in CBOT futures. Live cattle rallied on a strong boxed beef market and optimism for cash prices. With packer margins reportedly near $700/head, they have plenty of money to spend on fed cattle. Choice beef gained 3.23 to 309.11 and Select rose 3.49 to 293.76. Movement was very light. Live cattle futures have closed higher for four straight days with the June LC gaining $5.00/cwt.
Lean hog futures closed mixed with May-October lower and the deferred contracts higher. Lean hogs were pressured by Friday’s poor closing and reports of weaker cash hog prices and futures in China. FOB Plant Pork dropped 0.63 to 113.16, down from the morning quote of 115.77. The weaker market resulted from value drops for the ham, belly and picnic.
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